Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 14.310963 16.689931 19.281679 22.307124 25.733695 29.485784 33.896632
2025-06-01 9.923446 13.066138 16.847764 21.695176 27.701540 34.854576 43.968021
2025-06-08 7.169123 10.435093 14.695766 20.576997 28.387136 38.294705 51.687506
2025-06-15 6.018940 9.504398 14.355481 21.452123 31.391684 44.615777 63.294617
2025-06-22 5.044665 8.579067 13.793173 21.822583 33.601155 49.924303 73.852571
2025-06-29 4.112031 7.514350 12.821700 21.400067 34.536663 53.435379 82.087304
2025-07-06 3.294396 6.463823 11.685132 20.526957 34.630747 55.644529 88.513039
2025-07-13 3.031064 6.294440 11.907326 21.763749 37.987480 62.813723 102.571274
2025-07-20 2.777495 6.091948 12.032121 22.826824 41.123611 69.822326 116.787019
2025-07-27 2.494151 5.779511 11.913885 23.444124 43.554520 75.860508 129.839028
2025-08-03 2.188715 5.365738 11.550058 23.575034 45.153474 80.644500 141.165365
2025-08-10 1.859537 4.838819 10.896881 23.097434 45.639083 83.613972 149.717395
2025-08-17 1.542675 4.299362 10.190231 22.531860 46.086170 86.829853 159.369464
2025-08-24 1.270337 3.805449 9.509966 21.955287 46.502325 90.106329 169.503703
2025-08-31 1.005326 3.258856 8.620300 20.832259 45.767096 91.302404 176.165806
2025-09-07 0.919670 3.157699 8.700293 21.717931 48.953420 99.660329 195.698010
2025-09-14 0.813599 2.972485 8.553313 22.092558 51.151927 106.353268 212.662747
2025-09-21 0.680922 2.671568 8.073991 21.665566 51.676460 109.963138 224.286951
2025-09-28 0.549905 2.333434 7.436059 20.783097 51.153683 111.530279 232.239541
2025-10-05 0.524458 2.336451 7.691237 22.033141 55.264012 122.254989 257.721793
2025-10-12 0.493421 2.311740 7.866798 23.107524 59.073565 132.603116 282.998095
2025-10-19 0.449521 2.227440 7.861648 23.731356 61.933229 141.225915 305.410461
2025-10-26 0.395715 2.087900 7.672577 23.863649 63.692565 147.731327 324.062984